How much do you need saved to Coast FIRE?

Coast FIRE is a variant of the FIRE movement where you save aggressively early so that your investments can grow to cover retirement expenses later without any further contributions.
We won't dive into the full concept here, so if you're unfamiliar with Coast FIRE, check out our guide: What is Coast FIRE?
This article focuses on the math behind Coast FIRE and how to calculate your Coast FIRE number.
We will go over:
- The formula
- Real examples
- Age-based scenarios
- How to calculate your own number
If you want to skip the math and test with your own numbers right away, try our interactive tool.
Your FIRE number is $1,500,000, based on $60,000 of annual retirement income and a 4.00% withdrawal rate.
With your current cashflow, you contribute $15,000 per year.
You hit Coast FI at age 37.
That means: if you save until age 37 and then contribute $0 after that, your investments are projected to still reach your FIRE number by age 65.
Real return used: 8.00% (return - inflation).
The Coast FIRE Formula
Coast FIRE is calculated in two steps.
Step 1: Find your retirement number
Retirement number = annual retirement spending ÷ withdrawal rate
Example:
| Annual spending | Withdrawal rate | Retirement number |
|---|---|---|
| $70,000 | 4% | $1,750,000 |
| $80,000 | 4% | $2,000,000 |
| $80,000 | 3.5% | $2,285,000 |
This is the same math used in Traditional FIRE.
Step 2: Discount back to today
You now calculate how much you need invested today so that compounding reaches that number by retirement age.
Coast FIRE number:
Retirement number ÷ (1 + growth rate)^years
Example:
- Retirement goal: $2,000,000
- Years until retirement: 30
- Expected growth: 7%
Growth factor ≈ 7.6
$2,000,000 ÷ 7.6 ≈ $263,000
That means, if you invest $263k and never contribute another dollar, it can grow to $2M by your retirement age.
That is your Coast FIRE number.
How Age Changes the Number
In investing and compound interest, time is absolutely everything.
The younger you reach Coast FIRE, the smaller the required portfolio.
Example: $2M retirement target at 7% return
| Age | Years to 65 | Coast FIRE number |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | 40 | ~$135,000 |
| 30 | 35 | ~$181,000 |
| 35 | 30 | ~$263,000 |
| 40 | 25 | ~$381,000 |
| 45 | 20 | ~$553,000 |
As you can see, the amount needed to Coast FIRE grows exponentially as you age.
Compounding is incredibly powerful, but it needs time to fully work its magic. This concept applies to all investing, not just Coast FIRE.
What If Returns Are Lower?
Coast FIRE can be risky because it relies entirely on future market growth - which is impossible to predict. If returns are lower than expected, your Coast FIRE plans could be derailed.
Because of this risk, it's important to consider different growth rate scenarios and build your plan around a more conservative estimate.
Same $2M target:
| Growth rate | 30 years | Coast FIRE number |
|---|---|---|
| 7% | 30 yrs | ~$263,000 |
| 6% | 30 yrs | ~$349,000 |
| 5% | 30 yrs | ~$462,000 |
Lower anticipated returns mean you require a larger portfolio size.
I strongly suggest using a conservative growth rate when calculating your Coast FIRE number.
Adjusting for Inflation
Coast FIRE math already assumes inflation indirectly.
The growth rate you use should be real return (after inflation).
Typical long-term assumptions:
- Market return: ~10%
- Inflation: ~3%
- Real return: ~7%
- Conservative real return: ~6%
Using real return keeps your future retirement spending in today's dollars.
This simplifies planning and makes it easier to understand your Coast FIRE number.
A Practical Example
Let’s say:
- You’re 30 years old
- Want $70k retirement spending
- Plan to retire at 65
- Use 4% withdrawal
- Assume 7% real return
Step 1:
$70,000 ÷ 0.04 = $1,750,000 retirement goal
Step 2:
35 years until retirement converted to growth factor ≈ 10.7
$1,750,000 ÷ 10.7 ≈ $163,000 (your Coast FIRE number)
If you reach $163k invested, you can stop saving for retirement forever. Anything you choose to save after that is optional.
What Coast FIRE Means
Often times, we feel that only the already wealthy can achieve financial independence.
Coast FIRE shows us however that you can secure your future freedom relatively easily with disciplined saving and investing.
However, an important principle of Investing especially applies here:
Reaching Coast FIRE is exponentially harder as you get closer to your retirement age.
Once you reach Coast FIRE:
- You have more freedom with your income as further saving is optional.
- You can take more risks in your career.
- You can focus on other life goals without financial stress.
How to Reach Coast FIRE Faster
The key to reaching Coast FIRE is aggressive saving and investing early.
To increase your savings you have two main levers:
- Increase your income
- Decrease your expenses
Doing either of these will increase the margin in your budget that can be invested towards Coast FIRE.
Additionally, the earlier you start investing, the more time your money has to grow. Reaching Coast FIRE for a 25 year old will be significantly easier than for a 45 year old.
Key take-away: Save as aggressively as you can, as early as you can.
Consider alternatives
Coast FIRE isn't the only path. Depending on your goals, you might prefer:
- Barista FIRE: Keep working part-time while your investments grow, giving you income flexibility
- Lean FIRE: Fully retire earlier with a lower-spending lifestyle
Common Mistakes
Using unrealistic returns
- Be conservative with your growth rate assumptions. Coast FIRE relies entirely on future growth - which is impossible to predict. Because of this, you should be extra cautious with your estimates.
Forgetting lifestyle changes
- Your retirement spending may be very different from your current spending. Make sure to account for this in your calculations.
Stopping all investing
- Coast FIRE means you can stop saving for retirement, but continuing to invest can help you reach other financial goals. Just because you reach Coast FIRE doesn't mean you should stop investing altogether.
Ignoring taxes and accounts
- Different investment accounts have different tax implications. Make sure to consider how taxes will affect your investments and withdrawals in retirement.
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial, tax, or legal advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Consider speaking with a qualified professional about your specific situation.

Written by
Caleb ElliottSoftware engineer and personal finance writer documenting my own FIRE journey. I save ~50% of my income and build the tools I wish existed to help others reach financial independence faster.
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